Sports Analytics Demo
NFL Spread and Over/Under Predictor
A chronological model that trains through historical NFL seasons, then backtests against closing spreads and totals without looking ahead.
Current Model
The public demo defaults to the baseline profile because it outperformed the experimental enhanced and Rothstein models on conservative spread picks.
Checking data freshness...
Checking live scoreboard adapter...
NFL Prediction Dashboard
Current model state across all teams: strength ratings, expected points, win probability, and model playoff odds.
| Rank | Team | Strength | Expected Pts | Allowed Pts | Win Prob | Model Playoff Odds | Injury Adj | Recent Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Matchup Predictor
Select any two teams, enter a market spread and total, and compare the model projection.
Projected total: --
Historical Casino Lines
Select a matchup to view prior regular-season meetings.
| Season | Week | Matchup | Home Spread | Selected Home Line | Published O/U | O/U Result | Favorite Result | Algo Spread | Algo O/U | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Backtest Results
Results are graded only when the model has a clear enough edge over the published line.
| Season | Games | Spread Picks | Spread Win | Total Picks | Total Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Chronological Backtest
Games update the model in order, so future results never influence earlier predictions.
Market Comparison
Spread and total picks are made only when the model differs from the betting line by a set threshold.
Research Modes
Enhanced tests venue and recent-form features. Rothstein+ adds a midseason and QB-continuity filter.